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Analyzing extreme weather and climate: a new statistical tool

Published: 23 August 2018

Due to processes occurring over vast ranges of scale, from fast to slow and from small to large, extreme weather and climate events aren鈥檛 as rare as scientists have thought 鈥 and that could complicate efforts to determine when extreme events signal perilous climate change, according to a new analysis published in the journal Scientific Reports.

鈥淎 spectre haunting humanity is the possibility that we may be on the verge of a 鈥榯ipping point鈥 beyond which irreversible and self-accelerating climate change kicks in,鈥 says study author and 平特五不中 physics professor Shaun Lovejoy. His new paper introduces a graphic 鈥渟pike plot,鈥 a statistical tool that could help client scientists distinguish unlikely and unexpected extremes from true tipping points.


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