平特五不中

Regional Seasonal Forecasting of Sea Ice in the Arctic Seas

In this seminar, I will discuss forecasting sea ice in the Arctic. I will first give an overview of current sea ice conditions and introduce the specificities of regional and seasonal forecasting in the Arctic. An example will be given on the use of Northern Hemisphere land snow cover as a predictor for the minimum sea ice extent. I will then move on to my M.Sc. work, which consists in a study of winter dynamical preconditioning of the ice pack as predictor for the minimum sea ice extent. I will present my work on regional area flux of sea ice in the Arctic peripheral seas and I will finish by showing the latest results obtained from a method based on the age of the ice.